J.D. Vance is fighting an uphill battle in public opinion. His approval ratings are slipping, and the numbers paint a troubling picture.
Compared to past vice presidents, Vance is starting on shaky ground—raising doubts about his future in Republican politics. With the 2028 election on the horizon, can he turn things around?
Vice presidents usually begin with at least moderate goodwill, but Vance’s numbers tell a different story:
- March 2025 Favorability: 42.4% favorable vs. 48.0% unfavorable.
- Trailing Kamala Harris: Despite criticisms, Harris maintained higher approval ratings at this stage.
- Echoing Dan Quayle’s Struggles: Quayle’s low ratings kept him from securing his party’s nomination.
- Falling Behind Mike Pence: Even amid controversy, Pence never hit such early-term lows.
Vance’s numbers are troubling. If history is any guide, vice presidents with weak public approval rarely succeed in securing the presidency.
Donald Trump still dominates the Republican Party, but his stance on Vance remains unclear.
Trump sidestepped questions about supporting Vance in 2028. His comments suggested a preference for a Trump family member instead.
Without Trump’s backing, Vance must carve out his own political identity.
Trump’s lukewarm response leaves Vance vulnerable. Without a solid base of support, his chances in 2028 could dwindle fast.
Several key factors contribute to his declining popularity:
- Overly Aggressive Rhetoric: While mirroring Trump’s combativeness, Vance lacks the outsider appeal that made Trump successful.
- No Defining Achievements: Unlike Trump, who had a business empire, Vance lacks a strong private-sector reputation.
- Voter Fatigue with Negativity: Polls suggest growing frustration with divisive politics.
Vance’s challenge is clear: He needs a new approach, or he risks alienating voters further.
If Vance hopes to be a serious contender in 2028, he must act now. His survival depends on:
A more unifying tone could help expand his appeal. If Trump remains noncommittal, Vance must rally his own supporters. Legislative and policy wins could shift public perception in his favor.
Vance’s early struggles signal a steep climb ahead. Without a boost in public opinion or Trump’s full support, his 2028 prospects remain bleak.
The next few years will decide whether he reshapes his image or follows the path of past vice presidents who never reached the White House.